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The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".Market News: The Slovak Prime Minister said that Slovakia supports the normalization of relations between Russia and western countries and opposes the emergence of a new iron curtain in Europe. The Slovak Prime Minister emphasized that all conflicts will be finally resolved through negotiations.

The downtime lasted more than 4 hours, and the failure of ChatGPT and Sora services has been fully repaired. On the afternoon of December 12, Beijing time, OpenAI updated the accident report and said that API, ChatGPT and Sora services have now fully resumed operation. Earlier today, OpenAI confirmed that ChatGPT, its chat robot, experienced a worldwide downtime, and Sora and API were also affected. It is understood that the fault lasted about 4 hours and 10 minutes. OpenAI said that it will conduct a comprehensive root cause analysis of this failure.Market information: The major shareholders of Hershey, an American chocolate manufacturer, will reject the takeover proposal of Yizi International, thinking that the other party's offer is too low.Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.

If Trump wants to curb inflation, the first thing to do is to build more houses. If Trump wants to push down inflation in the United States to a more tolerable level, he needs housing costs to help him. In this regard, the influence of the Federal Reserve is limited. It is unclear whether inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target in a sustained and convincing manner, at least not until housing inflation is further eased. In October, the national average rent in the United States was $209 per month, slightly lower than that in September, but still higher than the same period last year by 3.3%. Lisa Studt Vanter, chief economist of Bright MLS, said, "It is expected that with the passage of time, we will start to see the year-on-year rent growth slow down, but it just feels like it will take a long time. Some measures proposed by Trump will lead to rising inflation. Compared with six months ago, the prospect of continuing to move towards 2% is less certain. Aiming at the housing supply problem is something that the federal government can do meaningfully. Of course, this is not something that can be done in the short term. "On December 12, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 23.14 yuan/kg, which was the same as yesterday. According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the "200 Index of Agricultural Products Wholesale Price" was 121.01 on December 12, up 0.07 points from yesterday, and the wholesale price index of "vegetable basket" products was 122.15, up 0.08 points from yesterday. As of 14:00 today, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 23.14 yuan/kg, which was the same as yesterday; Beef is 60.10 yuan/kg, down 0.4% from yesterday; Mutton 59.19 yuan/kg, up 0.2% from yesterday; Eggs are 10.19 yuan/kg, up 0.2% from yesterday; White striped chicken was 17.74 yuan/kg, down 0.5% from yesterday. The average price of 28 kinds of vegetables monitored is 5.02 yuan/kg, up 0.2% from yesterday; The average price of six kinds of fruits monitored is 7.15 yuan/kg, down 0.4% from yesterday. Crucian carp 19.28 yuan/kg, down 1.6% from yesterday; Carp 14.30 yuan/kg, down 0.6% from yesterday; Silver carp 10.10 yuan/kg, down 3.3% from yesterday; Hairtail is 41.11 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from yesterday.The 2.53 billion shares held by Greenland Group have been frozen. According to the legal litigation information of Tianyancha, recently, Guangxi Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. added a piece of information on the freezing of shares. The executor is Greenland Holding Group Co., Ltd., and the amount of frozen shares is about 2.53 billion RMB. The freezing period is from December 9, 2024 to December 8, 2027. The enforcement court is Wanzhou District People's Court in Chongqing.